On the Concepts and Characteristics of the Reliability of a Production System

Ilkka Virtanen

English Summary

The paper deals with the concept and characteristics of the reliability of a system, especially in such a case when the system has several different levels of activity: instead of making the system completely inoperable the failure of a component or of a subsystem may only reduce the efficiency of the system. The traditional concept of reliability is shown to be too narrow in extent in order to cover these systems with many levels of activity.

In order to eliminate this deficiency, a new definition with an extension in contents is given for the concept of reliability. This conceptual extension is done in such a way that

­ in the case of a system with many levels of activity, the new comprehensive concept of reliability has an analogous empirical interpretation to the concept of traditional reliability of an operable or inoperableš system,
­ for a two level operable or inoperableš system, the new concept of reliability coincides with the traditional concept of reliability, and
­ the new concept stays within the limits of the general mathematical definition of reliability.

The quantitative definition of the comprehensive concept of reliability is specified in the form of the following quantitative characteristics:

Availability with the level c of activity, A(c,t), is the probability A(c,t) = Prob(The level of activity of the system at time t is not less than c).

Availability of the mean proportion of activity, A(t), is the expected value for the proportion of activity of the system at time t.

Reliability with the level c of activity, R(c,t), is the probability R(c,t) = Prob(The level of activity of the system does not become less than c during the time interval from 0 to t).

Mean time to system failure below the level c of activity, T(c), is the mean of that time period after which the level of activity of the system for the first time becomes less than c.

Further, expressions for calculating the new characteristics of reliability straight on the basis of the state probabilities of the system are derived in the paper. Also remarks on empirical interpretation and statistical estimation of these characteristics are given.

(The Finnish Journal of Business Economics 3-1976, 399- 416.)